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End result: negligable effect. Open source, not being necessarily based in America, will ignore this. Users will ignore this. Prosecution would be difficult to follow up with.
Also of note: Even if this does terminate services such as PGPfone, etc... any criminal organization could easily grab any average joe coder to write up a similar piece of software within a month for secure and unmonitored communication. They could even throw encryption into the mix easily. Hell, if this really does happen, I will code my own and keep it hidden till I need it. Similar to the fact that I will buy a fully automatic Steyr Aug if guns are outlawed. Call it a safety measure.
Also of note: Even if this does terminate services such as PGPfone, etc... any criminal organization could easily grab any average joe coder to write up a similar piece of software within a month for secure and unmonitored communication. They could even throw encryption into the mix easily. Hell, if this really does happen, I will code my own and keep it hidden till I need it. Similar to the fact that I will buy a fully automatic Steyr Aug if guns are outlawed. Call it a safety measure.